Ahh, there's nothing like that first snow of the year to remind you that Fall is dead (we had a good two weeks!) and you'll be nestled in Winter's bony embrace for the next nine months. Yes, big fluffy flakes are already falling here in DUMBO, and accumulation predictions in New York City range from a dusting to 2-4 (and "up to 5") inches through 2 a.m. We knew that our great aunt gave us the Air Bud Trilogy on Blu-Ray for a reason.

We have reports that snow is now falling on Harlem, the Upper East Side, Clinton hill, Fort Greene, Astoria, and Forest Hills, and the East Village. While the precipitation is supposed to be mostly rain through the afternoon, it should turn to all snow overnight. Upstate may get pummeled with as much as 12 inches. According to the Daily News, the city's previous snow record was on October 15, 1876 when a "dusting" was measured. Equally as miserable as wet, heavy snow is the wind advisory that's in effect from 4 p.m. to 6 a.m. tomorrow, as gusts are projected to range from 25 to 55 mph. Drop that Prosac into your hot chocolate and relax: you have nowhere to be tonight (anymore).

Update 2:38 p.m.: The National Weather Service now says it's a "historic early season snowstorm for the tri-state area": "THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS UPGRADED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY TO A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW AND WIND...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SUNDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT." For the area, the NWS expects accumulation of 6-10" of snow and winds from the north at 20-30 mph, with gusts up to 55 mph. Also, watch out for downed trees and driving conditions will be hazardous, especially after dark.