Ha! We got part of yesterday's forecast right. As expected the city was on the eastern edge of the rain, with Newark receiving more than a half-inch of rain, Central Park getting exactly half an inch and LaGuardia measuring a lowly 0.03 inches. Northern Rockland County had a brief, but violent, thunderstorm that knocked down trees, blew the roof off of a house, and knocked the power out for several hundred homes.
That same pattern is setting up today and flash flood watches and warnings are in effect for the lower and mid Hudson Valley. Here in the city we can expect a round of showers or thunderstorms this afternoon and again tonight as a cold front pushes through the region. This geek graph of this morning's weather balloon shows a deep layer of saturated air so what rain does fall could be heavy. Today's high will be in the lower 80s.
The cold front is expected to pass through the city after midnight, bringing an end to any showers. The air mass behind this front is more dry than it is cold so look for a mostly sunny and warm Saturday with highs in the mid to upper 80s. Sunday won't be quite as warm but will likely have fewer clouds. Clear skies at night will make for good viewing of the Perseid meteor showers. More fair weather is expected for Monday and probably Tuesday as the high pressure system sticks around for a few days.