High pressure over New England will give us an easterly breeze off the Atlantic Ocean today. Given that the water temperature off Montauk is all of 36 degrees the onshore flow means we're in for a cool, cloudy Wednesday. Look for the high to reach no higher than the lower 40s this afternoon.

That high will start getting pushed out to sea as an old low pressure system heads eastward across the Great Lakes today. As that storm draws near it will replace the Atlantic moisture with Gulf of Mexico humidity, resulting in the temperature holding steady, or perhaps increasing slightly, overnight. It will also bring a chance of light rain by late this afternoon and a better chance of steady rain tonight. The rain should end by sunrise and a westerly breeze will warm us up to the mid 50s tomorrow under mostly clear skies. The sun should return on Friday when the high is expected to be in the lower 50s.

Saturday should start out warm, but the passage of a cold front promises the return of cool weather for Sunday and into next week. Saturday's high will reach the mid to upper 50s depending on the timing of the front and there's a chance of showers before the colder air arrives. Sunday might not be too cold with a high in the mid 40s but Monday and Tuesday are sadly expected to only warm to 40 degrees, with a few flakes possible on Tuesday.