Gulf oil spill day 75: It's going farther than we thought. The latest NOAA findings show that the Florida Keys, Miami, and Fort Lauderdale have a 61%-80% chance of oil impact, thanks to the looming threat from the Loop Current. However, they insist that doesn't mean the oil will necessarily wash ashore. They say their findings mean "that oil or streamers or tar balls are likely to be in the general vicinity (within 20 miles of the coast)." Good news?

Since the oil breaks down the longer it travels, NOAA says "any shoreline impacts to Keys, southeast Florida or beyond would be in the form of scattered tar balls, not a large surface slick of oil." And despite the high risk, the latest NOAA oil spill trajectory doesn't show oil anywhere near the Keys. If you're interested in spending your 4th of July weekend tracking the spill's movement, GeoPlatform has an interactive map charting where the oil is and how it affects wildlife, fishing and weather.

In other news, many politicians still don't seem to realize what a disaster the spill is. House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform chairman Rep. Ed Towns (D-New York) told the Times-Picayune, "You know things are bad, but when you go there you know that things are a lot worse." Rep. Anh "Joseph" Cao (R-New Orleans) said he just wants more members of Congress to visit. "I tell people you just got to see to appreciate the seriousness of what we're facing," he said.