Very pleasant late November weather is on tap for today, but get ready for a whole lot of rain in the next couple of days. A ridge of high pressure will provide plenty of sun early today but clouds will fill in as the afternoon progresses and the ridge moves eastward. A light southerly breeze should warm us to the lower 50s, which is a couple of degrees warmer than normal.
That southerly breeze will pick up tomorrow as a deep trough in the jet stream moves eastward across the country. A short wave, or disturbance, will be racing through that trough and that will set us up for a rainy afternoon. Look for an unseasonably warm high in the lower 60s, but along with that heat we are likely to see heavy rain, possibly a thunderstorm, and gusty southerly winds. The rain and wind will let up by late Tuesday evening, but all the moisture in the air will make for a foggy night.
Another round of rain is expected on Wednesday afternoon and evening as the surface low over the Great Lakes spawns a baby low much closer to home. You definitely want to be sporting a raincoat and waterproof shoes if you are going to see the tree lighting in Rockefeller Center. The high on Wednesday will again be in the lower 60s, and November will be the 17th consecutive warmer-than-normal month.
Mostly sunny skies should return on Thursday and last through the weekend. Cooler air will gradually seep into the area during that time, as afternoon highs are expected to drop from the upper 50s on Thursday to the mid 40s by Sunday.