November is ending on a raw weather note as a high pressure system building over New England gives us a cold northeasterly wind and plenty of clouds. It's only going to warm to the mid 40s this afternoon with the wind making it feel much cooler.

Despite today's chill, this month is going to surpass 2001 as the warmest November ever recorded in Central Park. With September also seeing record warmth and October being slightly warmer than average this year looks to tie 1931 as the warmest climatological fall since records began in 1869.

Warmer weather will return as December begins, but more significantly we're in for a couple of wet days. A storm is moving this way from Tennessee and is expected to pass to our west on Wednesday. But there's a twist: before that storm gets here it will spawn a coastal low tonight that will bring us a cloudy, rainy Tuesday with a high in the upper 40s to lower 50s. The original Tennessee storm passes on Wednesday. Because it will be to our west the city will be in the warm sector of the storm and we'll warm to the upper 50s with plenty of rain possible.

Dry weather returns later in the week. Thursday through Sunday should have plenty of clear skies and highs in the upper 40s to lower 50s. If you're keeping track at home that means at least the first week or more of December will be warmer than normal.