Clear skies, a cool north breeze, today's weather looks so innocent. Ha! While it may be a sunny 55 this afternoon, tomorrow looks to be a meteorological crapfest. The upper level winds are changing from a west-to-east pattern, which has brings a succession of uneventful high and low pressure systems, to a more wavy north-south pattern. The changing pattern will bring about the first nor'easter of the season a bit ahead of schedule.

After a cool night tonight we can expect an overcast Thursday with rain beginning after noon. As the nor'easter strengthens the winds will pick up tomorrow night. Friday will see perfect baseball weather with more wind and rain and a high only in the mid 40s. The Catskills and Berkshires will see s___ mixed in with the rain (we refuse to use th s-word until after election day). The northeast winds and rain may result in coastal flooding.

The storm will begin to recede on Saturday but the northeast will still be under a circulation pattern that favors rainfall. Look for an overcast weekend with an ever present chance of a shower. The temperature will rebound all the way to the lower 50s on both Saturday and Sunday. Sunny and warmer weather will wait for the return of the work week.