This is a classic trap game. The Giants return home after an emotional victory to face a 4-9 Washington club before a big matchup against the Jets next week. New York has shown a worrisome trend of playing down to the competition at home this season. They lost to bad clubs in Seattle and Philadelphia and barely survived against Miami and St. Louis. In fact, the only "good" team they have defeated at home is Buffalo, but that was when the Bills were 4-1 (they are 5-8 now).
And there are some major problems on defense. Lost in the euphoria of last week's win in Dallas was a secondary that surrendered 321 yards and got torched in the fourth quarter at several key moments. And injuries to the pass rush, Umenyiora is out and Tuck is out, mean that things likely won't get better this week defensively.
Luckily, Washington is not a great football team and they have plenty of injury concerns of their own. Washington gave the Patriots a fierce fight last week and they will give New York everything they can handle this week. But in the end, Eli and his offensive weapons will prove to be too much. The pick here is New York in a close game.