Short forecast: cool today, warm and wet tomorrow, sunny Sunday.
Short forecast: cool today, warm and wet tomorrow, sunny Sunday.
You'll need more than a bonnet to fend off at three, possibly four, storms that will pass our way in rapid succession. The low responsible for the rain and snow so far is moving further out to sea. Rain should diminish this afternoon and evening as a result. Oh, it will still be cold and windy at Yankee stadium this evening and rain showers may return as the game progresses. Game time temperature will be in the lower 40s, but the wind will make it feel more like the mid 30s.
If you want evidence that "nature abhors a vaccuum" step outside. The stiff easterly breeze is the atmosphere's attempt to balance out the pressure differences between the high over Nova Scotia and the low that's been slowly moving up the coast. Winds off the Atlantic mean the city will see a raw, rainy day with a high only in the mid 60s. The rain will likely be heavy at times and a tornado watch has been issued for the southern half of New Jersey.
It was no contest. In a battle of weather legends Staten Island Chuck's month old prediction of an early spring was thoroughly pummeled by March coming in like a lion last night. Snowfall amounts generally ranged from 5-8 inches across the city this morning. More than a foot fell on eastern Long Island.
Yesterday's rain was courtesy of a low that traveled well north of the city. That storm is strengthening over the Canadian Maritimes this morning, hence the cold and windy conditions. The temperature won't rise much above freezing today, which is ten degrees cooler than normal, and the wind chill will remain in the teens.
In a startling development the Times discovered yesterday that the weather forecast is sometimes inaccurate. That a blown forecast is worth reporting should be seen as good news, as it means that forecasts are now generally seen as accurate. Gothamist freely admits that we were wrong in Monday's forecast. Yesterday' snow was quite pretty and not the ugly mess we anticipated. Snowfall amounts ranged from 1.1 inches at JFK to 5.5 inches at Great Kills.
Periods of rain should last all day long and well into the evening hours. The primary cause is a storm developing just off the coast. The details are a bit hairier as they involve isentropic lifting this morning, an upper-level disturbance later today and finally the approach of a cold front this evening. The end result is plenty of rain in the city with a high only in the 30s. The rain, combined with frozen ground and ice in some places, has led to a flood advisory for the city and suburbs.
We hate to state the obvious but that was a lot of rain. Three-and-a-third inches of rain, which is nearly a December's worth, fell since Wednesday. Had it been only a few degrees cooler much of the precipitation would have fallen as snow. How much snow? Assume a typical 10:1 snow-to-rain ratio and it works out to nearly three feet.
A classic winter weather situation is brewing for this weekend. This time of year the Arctic air masses that come out of Canada are cold and dry, thus relatively dense. The dense air hugs the ground, making the high pressure system shallow, which disconnects it from the steering winds of the jet stream. When that happens the Arctic air struggles to get over the Appalachians. Instead it sinks southward across the Great Plains and into the Gulf of Mexico. On occasion the cold air will cross the Gulf, pass through the Isthmus of Tehuantepec (you do remember it's strategic importance to the Gadsden Purchase, right?) and reach the Pacific. As the cold air funnels through the gap in the Sierra Madre it creates a violent breeze snickeringly known to juvenile meteorologists as a tehuantepecer.
The last full day of winter is going to be wet. A low pressure system is moving up through Pennsylvania today as it heads toward the Canadian Maritimes. Steady rain and fog are expected to continue over the city through noon. The warm front that projects off the low should arrive early this afternoon. Once it does the steady rain will turn showery. Showers will last until a cold front sweeps through tomorrow morning. Late tonight some of those showers could be in the form of a thunderstorm. An excellent way to herald the vernal equinox at 1:48 a.m. EDT!
Although the city was mostly spared, wind and rain caused quite a mess across the metro area last night. About twenty thousand homes lost power, including 900 in Queens and 300 in the Bronx.
After a couple of warmish days the city has quickly cooled off in the wake of last night's cold front passage. There's quite a pressure gradient associated with yesterday's storm. So, even though the low is now over the Canadian Maritimes, the city will still feel its windy ways today. Expect winds to rev up to 20 miles an hour, with gusts to 30 mph, throughout the day. A brief snow flurry or two is not out of the question. Today's high of 44 was reached at midnight. At best, temperatures will hold steady in the upper-30s during the afternoon hours.
You might think that today's forecast, warm with a chance of a thundershower, is a harbinger of spring. You would be wrong. Mother Nature lives up to her cruel mistress moniker by dangling spring in front of us while all the while holding another cold snap in a gloved hand behind her back. A warm front swept northward through town last night, raising the temperature to 62 degrees this morning. It may warm a degree or two more, probably not enough to reach the record of 68, before a cold front arrives in the early afternoon. Before it begins to cool there may be an occasional shower or possibly a thunderstorm. There's a big gob of rain on the radar just east of Atlantic City, that may just skirt the city.
So far February has been off to a rousingly warm start. The average temperature has been 10.64 degrees Fahrenheit above normal, including a record-setting, nay record-blasting, high of 68 degrees on Wednesday. The recent warm stretch, today is the 13th straight warmer-than-normal day, will continue only through tomorrow. Today will be sort of cloudy, sort of sunny with a high around 45. We may see a litttle snow early tomorrow and a little rain later in the day. The high tomorrow may sneak up to the upper 40s.
Whoosh! That's the sound of today's weather. The skies may be gloomy this morning but, whoosh, a cold front will bring us abundant sunshine this afternoon. Along with clearing skies will be a much cooler air mass. Look at those crazy temperature drops across the Midwest yesterday. While our temperature drop won't be as extreme as in Chicago, we expect the proverbial mercury to drop into the mid-30s by the time we go home this evening. With that much change there's bound to be wind. The National Weather Service has issued a wind advisory through five o'clock. Winds will pick up to between 20 and 30 miles and hour during the day. Gusts of 45-50 mph are not out of the question.
Were you rudely awakened by a clap of thunder early this morning? We heard one at 2:49 a.m. and again around six and seven. Gothamist is going to be a grumpy worker bee today! Yes, we were treated to a rare January thunderstorm last night. Showers and possibly another thundershower or two will continue until the early afternoon.
Our flirting with record high temperatures should come to an end early this afternoon as a cold front sweeps across the city. The cold front is part of the same storm system that brought tornadoes and flooding to the midwest. Before the front arrives we will see one last run up toward a record (today's is 64 degrees set in 1937). By this evening, after the front has passed, it will cool to the upper-40s. While the storm won't bring us any tornadoes we will have off-and-on rain showers until it passes. There is also a high wind advisory in effect until 4 p.m. Winds will pick up to a steady 20-25 miles an hour with gusts to 40 mph. Watch out for discarded Christmas trees dancing along the streets like tumbleweeds!
Last week Gothamist was in San Francisco for the third time this year. It was sunny and warm and we took an odd pleasure in watching the natives hustle about wearing wool hats and gloves. In our three trips to the west coast we managed to avoid the Valentine's Day snow storm, the April nor'easter and resultant flooding, and last week's snowy/icy/rainy pair of storms. We will leave it to our readers to decide if our timing was mere coincidence or meteorological perspicacity on our part.
The snowfall season started off with 1.4 inches of flakes accumulating in Central Park yesterday. That doesn't sound like much but it puts us more than halfway to the December average of 2.6 inches. Unlike in icy New Jersey, rain and increasing overnight temperatures took quick care of what snow did fall across the city. There are a lot of rings around the Great Lakes low pressure system on this morning's surface weather map. The...
The ragged march to winter weather continues. Unlike last month, which was mostly warm for days on end, November keeps bouncing between cold and warm episodes as the atmosphere struggles with the transition to a wintertime circulation pattern. Today will be warmer than normal as the morning rain tapers off to a drizzly fog. The rain's not going away! The tree lighting at Lincoln Center looks to be a soggy occasion. A low pressure...