This week is our eighth anniversary here on Gothamist so let's take a moment to look at how the temperature has changed over the past decade. It's hard to see trends when daily temperatures are plotted over a long time because the seasonal cycle and day-to-day fluctuations are so big. Instead, we've plotted cumulative highs and lows so you can see periods of warmer/cooler weather. Not much happened the first few years. First there were a few warm months, then a few cool months, then the temperature was decidedly average through July 2005. More than three years of warm weather follow before the cool 2009 occurs. Except for the cold and snowy Dec 2010 - Jan 2011 the last two years have featured almost continuous warming, winding up with the incredible spike of the last few months. November, December, February and March were all among their top five warmest months since measurements began in 1869. Overall, the city has warmed about a degree in the past ten years.
Sun-Filled Weekend Follows A Decade Of Warming
Sunny Today, Soggy And Cold Saturday
March 2012 is turning the old weather proverb on its head by coming in like a lamb and going out like a lion. Oh, today will be plenty docile but tonight and tomorrow are looking like a soggy wool sweater. High pressure centered over Elmira this morning will give us a sunny and seasonable day. Look for a high in the mid 50s with a brisk wind out of the west this afternoon.
Spring Showers Today, Record Warm March In Doubt
This is so discouraging. Despite three record highs and eight days in the 70s this month, we may not have a record warm March. Through yesterday the month is a tenth of a degree above the record pace. Today's warmth will cushion that lead by a few extra tenths of a degree, but more seasonable temperatures for the remainder of the month will cut into that lead.
A Final Warm Day Before The Rain Arrives
Yesterday's Central Park high of 78 surpassed by one degree the record for March 22nd set in 1938. If the thermometer reaches the forecast high of 76 this afternoon we will tie the 1923 record for this date. Nobody will be surprised by this, but as of now March is running at a record warm pace.
Un-Winter Ends With May Weather
The parade of unseasonably warm weather continues unabated! The morning fog has evaporated and we're on our way to the sunny low 70s this afternoon thanks to a southerly breeze. Mid-May temperatures for the last day of winter seems appropriate this year. Sometime tonight a weak backdoor cold front, a front that sneaks down from New England, will pass through the city. That will bring us an easterly wind and hold the temperature down to the lower 60s for the first day of spring.
Rainy Today, Warm, Sunny Weather Returns Tomorrow For Extended Stay
The east wind is an evil wind. The breeze off the cold ocean kept yesterday's temperature down to only six degrees warmer than normal, way cooler than the twenty degrees above normal to which we had become acclimatized. That easterly wind will continue to bring the chill, and fog and drizzle, for a while longer today. A weak cold front that's currently over Lakes Erie and Ontario will change the wind direction this evening. Before that front arrives we stand a good chance of showers and possibly a thunderstorm this afternoon. Today's high will be in the upper 50s.
Definitely Not 1888 Weather Out There Today
A New York Times headline on this date in 1888 read "CRUSHED UNDER THE SNOW. Struggling to Throw Off Its Heavy Burden. The city still in a paralyzed condition. The wheels of business motionless, traffic and communication not yet recovered, and the peril of a scarcity of food and fuel added to the blizzard's effects". Another headline was "BROOKLYN ONE HUGE DRIFT". A third story described how people walked on an ice bridge from Wall St. in Manhattan to Fulton St. in Brooklyn. There was also this curious and amusing blind item.
Near Record Warmth On The Anniversary Of The Blizzard Of 1888
While the weather over the middle part of the country is a big question mark this morning, the New York area will bask in near record high temperatures this afternoon. Meteorologically, there's not much to this story. High pressure is sitting just off the coast and that is bringing us a warm, southerly breeze today. Central Park's record high for this date is 71 degrees set in 1890. We'll likely fall a couple degrees short of that mark, but other nearby locations, with much shorter climate records, will probably break their records today.
Warm Weather Takes A Brief, Breezy, Break
Excuse us if we're still drunk from yesterday's excessively nice weather. Oh, who are we kidding, we're just drunk. Anyway, Thursday's high of 71 made it the warmest day of non-winter and the warmest in nearly five months. The last time the temperature was over 70 degrees was on October 11th.
Insanely Great March Weather Today
Did everyone make it through what passes for a major cold spell this winter? We had to put on a sweater yesterday! That's not the case today as high pressure has moved offshore and will treat us with a warm southwesterly breeze. Look for a high in the upper 50s—possibly 60—for the city and lower 50s along the coast and for much of Long Island. West of the city, the bone dry air of the past few days will combine with 10-15 mph winds to produce conditions favorable for the spread of brush fires. Red flag warnings have been posted for much of New Jersey and eastern Pennsylvania.
Warmest February, Second Warmest Winter, Ever Recorded In Central Park!
Break out the party hats and noisemakers! With an average of 40.9 degrees last month was the warmest February in Central Park since records began in 1870. The coldest February, which coincidentally was the last time a coldest month was set, happened in 1934 during Franklin Roosevelt's first term as president. February 1934 averaged 21 degrees colder than last month, which kind of boggles our little mind. The past three months were also the second warmest climatological winter on record, trailing only 2001-02.
A Wet End To A Warm February
Trivia question: What do 1984, 1998 and 2002 have in common? Unless a so-far-undetected pool of extremely cold air arrives by midnight they will be knocked down to a three-way tie for second warmest February ever recorded in the city. The most recent record warm month was April 2010. Care to guess when Central Park last saw a record cold month? Hint: A New Yorker was president.
Spring Weather Later This Week
Were you outside between six and eight this morning? Did something feel "odd" to you? For only the third time this month, and for less than two hours, the temperature went below freezing. The cold air is half the ingredients needed to produce significant snow. The other half, a storm, was present down south where up to 9 inches fell, but that storm quickly went out to sea. Despite the chilly start this President's Day should warm to the mid 40s under sunny skies this afternoon. However, given the brisk northerly wind it may not feel like the mid 40s.
February Returns to the 50s
Yesterday was chilly, right? Bzzzt. While it may have felt cold and gloomy, Wednesday was actually five degrees warmer than normal. With just one cooler than average day so far, this month's average temperature is running 5.2 above normal. That's about a half-degree below the pace needed to become the warmest February ever recorded in New York City. If the ten-day forecast holds true that pace will pick up and 2012 will easily break that record.
Dreary Morning May Give Way To A Sunny Afternoon
Morning fog, clouds and drizzle are hanging around longer than expected and that's delaying what should be a pretty nice day. Our gloomy morn is due to an upper-level shortwave, which is a disturbance that speeds through the longer wave of the jet stream. The shortwave pulls air upwards as it moves along and that lifting produces the clouds. Assuming the shortwave moves away by afternoon we should see a few rays of sun and a high in the lower 50s. If the clouds remain we won't get much warmer than the mid 40s.
Sunny And Mild Weather For The Giants' Ticker Tape Parade
When do you think the latest date is that really cold weather can strike New York? That depends on how you define "really cold" but this graph of every January through March daily temperature since 1971 has the answer. The squiggly line is the mean and that bottomed out a couple weeks ago at 29 degrees. Following the January Thaw, the curve reaches another nadir on February 5th before beginning a slow increase. We should dutifully point out that the thaw, like all the day-to-day squiggles in the line, is not statistically significant -just look at that variability. From a climate perspective there is still a chance of cold weather, but the odds are against us having a brutally cold week like what happened in 1979.
Yet Another Warm Winter Day
Let's start February by taking a quick look back at last month's weather. It won't come as any surprise to learn that January was warm. Just how warm is anybody's guess! The weather instruments located near Belvedere Castle suffered a power failure over the weekend so the Weather Service missed out on several days worth of temperature readings. Looking at surrounding stations our best guess is that Central Park was five degrees warmer than normal. While that's not warm enough to crack January's top ten it is the eleventh straight month that's been warmer than average.
It's The January Thaw!
It's a typical Spring day today. Look at that snow melt! Lots of rain, perhaps a thunderstorm, a flood advisory for the city and surrounding counties, and a high near 60 this afternoon. That's pretty normal for this time of year, if this time of year were mid-April. For late January it's about twenty degrees warmer than average. Can there by a January thaw if there is no January freeze?
Boring Winter Weather Continues To Be Boring
Is this the most disappointing winter ever? The season's almost half over and there has yet to be a deep freeze or a significant snow storm. Saturday's snow was cute but hardly memorable. Aside from some rain tomorrow and Friday there's no particularly interesting coming our way anytime soon. We should see a few clouds later this afternoon. Today's high will be in the mid 40s, which is several degrees warmer than normal.
A Foggy Day In New York Town
On average, January 23rd is half a degree warmer than January 22nd, so we're now on the upswing portion of the annual temperature cycle. In particular, today will be way warmer than yesterday. Thanks to southerly winds pushing warm, moist air this way the city should heat up to the lower 50s this afternoon. That humid air over the cold snow will produce a day long fog. Most of the snow cover will be gone by tomorrow as we'll have periods of rain this afternoon and evening.
Warm Finish To A Warm Year
A warm front is going to pass through the region today, bringing another wave of warm weather to close out the year. The southerly breeze behind the front will push today's high up to 50 degrees or thereabouts. There's a slight chance of rain this afternoon into tomorrow, but don't let that ruin your plans as there's really not all that much moisture associated with this storm.
Winter Solstice, Sans Winter Weather, Arrives Tonight
Fall is ending on a warm and rainy note. As expected a warm front has moved across the city this morning, bringing widespread clouds, fog, and light rain. The temperature is going to hover in the mid and upper 50s all day. Expect delays if you're flying somewhere today. There's plenty of fog all along the East Coast, the Great Plains and Rockies are getting socked with snow, and Los Angeles will be in for a round of Santa Ana winds. For your Saturnalian pleasure there's a slight chance of thunder and a good chance for gusty winds as a cold front arrives around the time of tonight's winter solstice.
Warm Streak Hangs On Despite Cold Front Passage
Yesterday was sixteen degrees warmer than normal, pushing November's average temperature to 52.0 degrees. That makes this the fifth warmest November on record. Today will again be warmer than normal, but not the ten degrees needed to displace 1975 as the fourth warmest November. The high and low temperatures for today will both be races. This afternoon's breezy high depends on how fast the sun can warm us up vs. how quickly cold air arrives as high pressure moves into the region. The high will be in the low or mid 50s. Without a sun to battle the temperature is going to plunge after sunset and we'll have a race against the clock to see how far the temperature drops below this morning's low of 46 degrees by midnight.
Near Record Highs As Warm Spell Continues
We couldn't help but notice yesterday that it isn't normal to be eating brunch outside on the Sunday after Thanksgiving. Yesterday was the third straight Sunday with highs in the 60s and today is the fourth consecutive day with temperatures in the 60s. All that 60-degree weather is making this one of the warmest Novembers on record. A southwest breeze will ensure that today stays warm with a high easily reaching the mid 60s if not the record of 69 set in 1990.
Heavy Rain For The Heavy Travel Days
Puny humans, Mother Nature does not care about your Thanksgiving travel plans! In a fit of bad timing the worst weather this week by far will be Tuesday night and Wednesday, the busiest travel days of the year. A weak cold front passed through the city this morning and we'll be drying out during the day. Despite the increasing sun the temperature is going to hold steady in the lower 50s for much of the day.
Another Sunny And Warm Fall Day
It was the easiest of forecasts, it was the hardest of forecasts, it was the age of sun and warmth, it was the age of clouds and rain. Today's forecast is pretty easy. High pressure sitting off the coast will bring another warm and sunny day. The wind swinging around and coming off the ocean will keep today a bit cooler than yesterday. Look for a high around 65.
Marathon Of Sunny Skies Continues!
It's as if November is trying to make up for the cloudy, rainy weather we had in October. After a sun-filled weekend we've got us another couple days of clear skies ahead. High pressure sitting off the New Jersey coast means plenty of subsidence over the region and with subsiding air you get clear skies. The slight southwesterly flow will push today's high to near 60 degrees. Perfect weather to observe the 71st anniversary of a weather-related disaster. A bit of a windshift overnight will push Tuesday's high to the mid 60s.
Rain FINALLY Returns To New York!
Our long, nightmarish, stretch of fair weather is quickly coming to an end. A low pressure system, that is not a tropical system, is moving up the East Coast today and promises to bring rain as early as this afternoon and, more significantly, tonight. East winds ahead of the storm will keep the temperature in the lower sixties all day.
Summer Weather For A Fall Holiday
Yesterday's high of 84 degrees came within two degrees of tying the record high at Central Park. Record highs were set at JFK, LaGuardia, Islip, and Newark, but all of those stations have been taking observations for a much shorter time than the park so records there aren't as impressive. Although the ridge of high pressure that's produced all the sunshine and warmth is beginning to flatten, this afternoon will still see another summer-like day with highs in the lower to mid 80s across the region. A few thin cirrus clouds may build in over the course of the day but they won't much affect the temperature.
Extremely Pleasant Fall Weather For The Weekend
This may be the most boring, yet enjoyable, weather post we've ever written. A high pressure system at the surface and a ridge of high pressure aloft means that clear skies will rule today, tomorrow, Sunday, Monday and probably Tuesday. We should see a high in the upper 60s this afternoon which is just about normal for this time of year.

