Through yesterday, this month was on pace to be the tenth warmest February recorded in Central Park. Cooler conditions today, and especially tomorrow, will put a kibosh on any top ten dreams the month may have had. This morning's brisk winds are in advance of an approaching Alberta Clipper that will pass through the area this evening. As the clipper gets closer skies will cloud up and there's an outside chance of a few flurries. The system is pretty weak and clouds will dissipate later in the evening. With any luck the sky will clear enough to make viewing tonight's lunar eclipse possible. More on the eclipse later!
Results tagged “theweatherservice”
Yesterday's high of 40 and low of 28 was exactly average for Valentine's Day. Today, like all the children in Lake Wobegon, will be above average with a high temperature close to 50 degrees. The reverse will be true tomorrow. A cold front tonight will usher in a quick blast of cooler air. The high tomorrow will only be around freezing. Earlier in the week the front looked like a rainmaker, but we should only see a few clouds tonight.
On Wednesday, much to our regret, we cavalierly dismissed the Weather Channel's call for a chilly Friday. We much preferred the National Weather Service forecast at the time.
The dominant weather maker today is a high pressure system that covers much of the eastern half of the country. The big air mass is cool and dry. A clue as to how cool can be found in the dew point temperature. As the center of the high has moved east our dew point, the temperature to which the air must cool for dew to form, has dropped to 25 degrees. Below freezing that's a...
We may be in for a bit of a wild weather ride later today. The same low pressure system that spawned 29 tornadoes from the panhandle of Florida to northern Michigan yesterday will be our big weather maker today. The Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center has the metropolitan area in a slight risk of severe weather this afternoon and evening. For us the severe weather is likely to be thunderstorms with gusty winds and heavy rainfall. The wind and heavy rain combo will strip many trees of their autumn leaves, clogging storm drains which adds to the likelihood of the dreaded urban flooding. We may see a shower or two before noon, but the showers should begin in earnest later in the afternoon. The heaviest rain is expected after the evening rush hour.
The Weather Service is forecasting a high of 84 today. Weather.com is going with 85. The record high for this date in Central Park is 86, set in 1931 and tied just a few minutes ago. Let's go for 90!
The string of pleasant, if not all that meteorologically interesting, weather continues today with another sunny, mild day. More of the same is expected tomorrow, though the mercury may crack the 80 degree mark. The Weather Service has finally come to their senses and backed off their earlier prediction of highs around 90 on Friday and Saturday. They are currently calling for highs around 86, which is more in line with weather.com's predictions of the lower-80s. The next chance of rain is Sunday at the earliest.
As a reader reported earlier, a tornado may have touched down in Bay Ridge. Funnel clouds were spotted early this morning and a tornado warning was posted for Brooklyn, Queens and parts of Nassau County. We won't know if the damage was caused by a tornado, microburst, or straight line winds until the National Weather Service sends out a forensics team to investigate.
It is time once again for the first Manhattanhenge sunset of 2007. Or not. amNY is saying that tonight's sunset will be perfectly aligned with the east-west grid of Manhattan streets. However, NewYorkology received the dates from Neil deGrasse Tyson's office at the Hayden Planetarium and they are saying Manhattanhenge doesn't occur until tomorrow night. deGrasse Tyson is the astrophysicist who coined the term Manhattanhenge. Viewing the phenomenon is best from the east side, which takes advantage of the long fetch of streets, from 14th Street and above. But, remember, staring at the sun, even a setting sun, is not a smart thing to do.
More of the same on the local weather scene. Today should be a carbon copy of yesterday, which was a repeat of Wednesday which was a cut-and-paste of Tuesday. Sunny, high around 70. Tonight should be an identical twin of last night. Clear, low around 50. Tomorrow? You guessed it. Pretty much the same. The Weather Service is calling for a slight chance of isolated sprinkles Saturday evening as a back door cold front moves through the city, but, frankly, we think their just saying that to see if we're paying attention.
The clouds are rolling in and the sky has a threatening look to it this afternoon, but looks can be deceiving. We're very likely to see light rain beginning around 4:00 p.m and lasting until midnight at the latest. Don't worry if you forgot to bring an umbrella to work. With little wind, the cheap umbrellas that magically appear for sale on the street on days like today should last throughout the evening.
Although the cool weather has ameliorated this week, temperatures are still running below normal. Tomorrow will see a bit of a setback in the warming department as a springtime nor'easter blows our way. Clouds, rain, and most importantly easterly winds will bring a chill to the day. Showers may begin by late this evening, but the steady rain isn't expected to be here until the early morning hours. Tomorrow morning's commute may be on the wet side as one or two inches of rain are expected between 4 a.m. and 2 p.m. Friday and Saturday will be much like yesterday –mostly sunny, highs 50-55. Friday is the first day of the year in which the normal high is 60 degrees.
We overheard someone this morning talking about going to last night's Yankee game "It was freezing, and then it started snowing…" Tonight's game will be just as cold, if not colder. If you are going to an afternoon game this weekend try to get a seat in the sun as the cold should be around for several more days. At least the Yankees can get their games in. Portland, Maine had a foot of snow yesterday and their minor league team was forced to postpone their opener until tomorrow.
The last two weeks have mostly been warmer than normal. That trend reverses itself today. We hope you haven't put your mittens and mukluks into storage as it is going to feel more like late-February than early spring. The culprit is the jet stream, which will be dipping south of us at least through next Monday. The map above is for Saturday, which will probably be the coldest day of the week for most of the northeast. If you want a warm weekend head west or way far south.
We noticed these cirrus clouds over Brooklyn while out for a walk yesterday afternoon. Cirrus clouds are usually a sign of an approaching warm front which, in addition to warmer weather, often promises a bit of rain. True to form the clouds have gotten more widespread and lower to the ground this morning. There's a slight chance of showers beginning this afternoon and a better chance of rain tonight. The high temperature today should be around 50.
You know, it is a beautiful thing when all the pieces come together to produce a winter storm. There's a low pressure system deepening off the Virginia coast, sending plenty of warm, moist air toward us. To our north there's a high pressure system sending cold air our way. The warm air proves no match for the dense dome of cold air so it has no choice but to ride up over the dome. As the warm air rises it cools, saturates and starts dumping snow, enough snow to warrant a Winter Storm Warning. The Weather Service is estimating four to eight inches of snow and sleet are expected in the city by tonight. Lesser amounts are likely on Long Island where rain will be more prevalent. It will stay cool enough upstate for Orange County to get around a foot of snow.
Tomorrow is going to be cold cold cold. Wednesday will be colder colder colder. Don't say that Gothamist didn't warn you! Winter, in the form of a nasty arctic front, is finally arriving. We won't get the ice storm that's been blamed for at least 21 deaths, and is currently lashing upstate, but the weather will turn sharply colder tomorrow.
What's a polar bear to do when it is 72 in January? Well, if you're a member of the Coney Island Polar Bear Club, you stage a silent protest. The Times reports eight members of the club cancelled their Saturday swim, because the water was too warm. Perhaps more interestingly, the News reports it was nine members of the club and the Post says ten! According to Polar Bear Club treasurer Tom McGann, yesterday was the first time in more than a century that the club has cancelled a swim. Meanwhile, the News also reports that the real polar bears in the Central Park Zoo were largely unaffected by the warm weather.
Don't be alarmed/hopeful about that snow falling on upstate New York and northeastern Pennsylvania on the map above. It's just a bit of lake effect flurries that won't reach the city.
Oh, snow, why did you tease us so? Did you see the snow this morning? Gothamist saw a few scattered flakes. It was a bit of a letdown after the tantalizing promises in yesterday's forecast. Given the record temperatures on Friday, the few flakes and cold air today are an episode of Extreme Makeover: Weather Edition. Saturday was the last of a nine-day run of warm air in which temperatures averaged ten degrees above normal. Not that it warms us up any this week but the first eleven months of 2006 are tied with 1999 as the seventh warmest January-November period on record.
You can literally breathe easier this morning. The air stagnation advisory issued yesterday has expired. The stagnant air is around because we are under a shallow pool of relatively dense air. Air circulates within that blob but it doesn't mix with air outside the blob. The result is dirty air. A warm front is slowly moving northward and the gunk, shown in green off the coast, has been largely moved offshore.
Sorry for the delay today, Gothamist has been enjoying the warm weather. It is currently 78 degrees in Central Park. The weather will half-repeat itself tomorrow. It will be sunny, but temperatures should only reach the low 70s. Still, that's pretty good for mid-October. Conditions will deteriorate starting late tomorrow night. Wednesday should be drizzly. Thursday may live up to its name and bring us a thunderstorm. Friday is looking rainy and chilly. According to the Weather Service, Friday's high will be in the upper-50s. The Weather Channel is calling for low-50s. And, judging from their graphic, AccuWeather believes a "Day After Tomorrow" scenario is in store for later in the week.
Not weather related but too good to pass up: Austrians Urged to Count Dog Droppings. Even the file name is excellent.
Today marks the thirteenth straight day of below normal temperatures. Interestingly, if you're the sort of person that finds these things interesting, high temperatures during this stretch have been much more below normal, by 5.5 degrees, than low temperatures. The reason for the difference has been the clouds and rain, which don't let us warm up during the day, rather than a colder air mass, which would keep us cooler during the day but even more so at night.
After a mostly pleasant weekend the heat and humidity are back! This is a one day, and one day only, appearance. Before the humidity disappears we are going to have a few showers, if not a thunderstorm as a trough of low pressure scoots through town. Sometime after midnight a cold front, currently straddling Lakes Erie and Ontario, will chase the moisture away. It won't be much cooler tomorrow, making it two weeks in a row with above normal temperatures, but the air will be considerably drier. Sunny, warm and dry will be the weather theme through Thursday. Well, Gothamist may be lying a little about Thursday being dry as humidity is likely to increase in advance of another cold front. That cold front might actually bring us a few days of cooler than normal air.
One way your body cools off is by evaporation. When you sweat water forms on your skin. Turning that layer of water into vapor by evaporation takes energy and that energy loss cools you off. That's only half the story. At the same time that evaporation is occuring, the reverse process of condensation is also happening. Water vapor in the air condenses into liquid on your skin and the heat gained by the water warms you up. Most of the time the cooling from evaporation is much greater than warming by condensation, so the net effect is nearly always cooling.
If you were envious of David Blaine staying under water for eight days envy no more! The weather situation is taking a turn toward the soggy. The blocking high we mentioned yesterday is going to keep an approaching storm system over us for several days. The Weather Service is euphemistically saying we will have "unsettled" weather through their forecast period. What they mean is rain, rain, rain, and rain. There will be heavy rain and light rain, rain showers and thunderstorms. There will be red rain, purple rain, and maybe even rain from outer space. Thirty-two flavors of rain in all. There will be enough rain to make us wrinkly and moldy.
Another warm spring day is underway today. Temperatures are much like yesterday. South facing shores are several degrees cooler because the wind will be blowing in off the cold ocean. Clouds move in this evening and we are likely to get a few showers after midnight through tomorrow morning's commute. The rain will probably not amount to much. After the rain moves out, tomorrow will be one of those paradoxical weather days when it gets warmer after a cold front.
Quick March re-cap: Dry. Last month was the driest March on record, with only 0.8 inches of precipitation. The wettest March occurred in 1983, when 10.54 inches of wet stuff fell. A nice smooth distribution over the years don't you think?
The National Weather Service is giving a shout out to northern Queens in their morning forecast, saying "Windy and mild with highs in the mid 60s...Except upper 60s in northern queens"


