Results tagged “nationalhurricanecenter”

We were tempted this morning to throw up a pretty sky photo from the Gothamist Contribute pool and not write anything because there's not much weather to discuss. The week is starting out cool but will get warmer. By Thursday we should be seeing maximum temperatures in the upper-70s to around 80 degrees as the high pressure system that will dominate the weather this week moves further eastward. Skies are expected to stay mostly clear through the weekend and probably well into next week.

There's a couple more hours of showers in store for today but the sky should clear up by early this afternoon. Sunshine this afternoon should give the last full day of spring a high temperature of around 80 degrees. The daylight hours tomorrow should be mostly sunny, leading to a high in the low-80s. A pathetically weak cold front may occasion a few clouds around sunset. The air mass behind the front isn't much cooler, but it is drier. Friday should be all sun with a high also in the low-80s.

We are starting to get to that time of year when sunny, warm days can no longer be taken for granted. Rather than a rule, a day like today, with a high in the low 80s, is quickly becoming an exception. It will be cloudier tomorrow, but still warm. There's a slight chance of showers tomorrow night as a week cold front passes through. Showers may linger into a cooler, yet still seasonable Sunday.

Curse you stationary front! Because of your unpredictable behavior, which makes your name a misnomer, Gothamist has had to revise our last two weather posts to catch up with changing conditions. You are a vacillating front not a stationary front! You moved south through town on Friday, took a weekend in Rehoboth Beach, headed north through the city last night before reversing direction late this morning. Staying to our south means the rainy weather will continue, but we won't get the unpleasantly warm and sticky weather.

Now that our mini-heat wave is over, tropical storm Beryl is making her presence felt. Sort of. Places along the shore from Brooklyn to Montauk may see some showers, possibly with intense rain, starting this morning. Beryl is forecast to skirt eastern Long Island before hitting Rhode Island and Cape Cod. Rain is forecast through tonight due to Beryl and through the weekend as the storm sucks Atlantic moisture, tomorrow and Saturday will be unpleasantly humid, northward ahead of a cold front.

After nearly two inches of rain since Monday night, and four inches of snow at Gothamist's Rockland County office, our local weather has turned quiescent. This morning's sun should give way to clouds later in the day and possibly rain tonight into tomorrow. The rain shouldn't amount to much and will be out of here by tomorrow afternoon. The weather through the weekend looks unremarkable, near normal temperatures and no precipitation. It should be sunny and in the 30s when the Giants kick-off on Sunday afternoon.

The tropical disturbance that was partially responsible for Saturday's rain is gone. The cold front that brought us the rest of the rain is still around, having stalled over the eastern Atlantic. As long as the front sits there we're in for cool, cloudy, rainy conditions. Right now the greatest chance of rain appears to be tomorrow night into Wednesday. We won't get nearly as much rain as over the weekend but the ground is saturated and flooding is likely. What's more, the onshore winds bringing us the gloomy skies will also push up the tides, possibly causing coastal erosion and flooding. Think of it as storm surge lite!

Hurricanes are the theme of the day on this, the last full day of summer. Rita has revved up to a category 4 storm and is expected to further intensify while in the center of the Gulf. The National Hurricane Center expects the hurricane to diminish somewhat by the time it makes landfall, though it will still be a major hurricane when it does come ashore. For now, it looks like Rita will make landfall in Texas, well south of Galveston.

What's a Red Flag Day you say? It's nothing like a red letter day, and has nothing to do with godless commies. Red Flag warnings are issued when conditions are ripe for wildfires. With no rain in almost two weeks and hot, dry, windy weather predicted for today wildfires are not out of the question. There's not a lot of shrubs or trees in Midtown, but Gothamist would suggest not lighting a charcoal fire directly under trees as we saw one family do in McCarren Park yesterday.

The first tropical storm of our hurricane season has arrived and we call her Arlene. Having grazed western Cuba with very heavy rains and winds around 45mph, the event is so far being described as "welcome relief from the island's severe drought" according to CNN. Well... that's nice to hear.

Gothamist recalls a point last summer when we found it hard to talk about anything besides hurricanes in our ramblings due to the above normal amount of activity. The National Weather Service is indicating that this year will likely be no different calling for a 90% chance of an above normal to normal hurricane season.

After bounding up the Morningside Park stairs this morning Gothamist could see our breath in the air. We assumed this was because the humidity had increased rather than the corn flakes we had for breakfast. Sure enough, the dew point temperatures had creeped up to over 50 this morning. That's not very humid in an absolute sense, but it does signal that summer is, hard as it is to believe, on the way. Another warming sign is that there's a chance of a thunderstorm tonight and a greater chance for one during tomorrow morning's commute. It probably won't be much of a thunderstorm if it does occur but we can hope.

Occasionally we field questions here at the Gothamist newsdesk. Here's one hot out the inbox:

Ivan is one bad mother______. The National Hurricane Center's forecast discussion this past weekend had an admission that caught Gothamist's eye. The forecaster said something to the effect that "we don't have enough information from storms this size to have confidence in our forecasts." That statement may have also caught the Times attention, as they have a story in this morning's paper on why the hurricane prediction maps look like inverted teardrops and how five-day forecasts are as accurate as three-day forecasts were 15 years ago. The image above is the current visible satellite image overlain with NASA TRMM satellite data mentioned in the Times article.

Partly cloudy, warm and humid. The chance of showers and thundershowers will grow through the weekend as a week cold front approaches. If you go out for a walk on Sunday you'll be most comfortable in the muggy conditions wearing light-colored, loose-fitting clothes. Sweat evaporates much faster from microfiber polyester than from cotton. The evaporation will keep you cooler so break out the high tech clothes.

At 3:42 yesterday afternoon Central Park recorded a temperature of 84 degrees, our high for the day. ABC 7 was right on! As for today and this weekend: think sticky. It looks like it will be warm and humid with a chance of showers and thundershowers on Saturday and Sunday.