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Nine Months Later

newborn babies from birthingnaturally.com First, the boring forecast. A little sun, a little cloud, mostly pleasant, high in the mid to upper 70s today. Coolish tonight. Very pleasant tomorrow.

Now the good stuff. Gothamist was looking at WXnation this morning when we ran across this curious story. Martha Jefferson Hospital in Charlottesville, Virginia needs to let the world know that they had a record number of babies born in June and July.

The hospital attributes this increase to the power outages that followed Hurricane Isabel last year. It is puzzling to Gothamist why a hospital would assume that, with no power, no running water, spoiling food, fallen trees and debris all over, people would start screwing like rabbits, and that all forms of birth control would suddenly fail or be abandoned. It is worrisome that the hospital has not one person trained in elementary statistics to see that births vary greatly from month to month. The irony of nurse manager Mary Ann Lucia quote "The mothers just want to get the babies out. They don't talk about how they got the babies in." was not lost on Gothamist.

This story has been uncritically picked up by over sixty news outlets. There is a persistent myth that birth rates jump after disasters such as last year's blackout, 1965 blackout or September 11th. In fact, it is commonly believed that the myth began after the 1965 blackout. As J. Richard Udry, who debunked the myth in 1970, has said it "is evidently pleasing to many people to fantasize that when people are trapped by some immobilizing event which deprives them of their usual activities, most will turn to copulation."

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Comments [rss]

  • joe

    At first glance it sounds very plausible. One theory I ran across while putting together the post was that because people are insecure about the frequency of their sexual activity (i.e. "everybody must be doing it more often than me.") our mindset is conditioned to believe that lots of copulation is going on when the power is out even when there's not a shred of evidence.

  • Michael

    Ha! I've always heard that the birthrate jumps 9 months after some enormous snowstorm shuts down Duluth for a week. That, at least, sounds plausible--when you're trapped at home for 5 days in the cold, what else would you do? (Perhaps this is less reasonable in the age of movies on demand.)

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